Showing posts with label Gaza. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gaza. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Report: Qatar scuttled Gaza cease-fire for not having seat at Cairo table

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Report: Qatar scuttled Gaza cease-fire for not having seat at Cairo table

posted at 10:01 am on August 20, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Interestingly, this report comes not from a Western or Israeli source but from “a senior Fatah official” who spoke with Al-Hayat, a pan-Arab newspaper based in London. The Jerusalem Post picks up the story from Al-Hayat, in which the official from the rival Palestinian faction blames yesterday’s cease-fire violation by Hamas on Qatar, which has long hosted Hamas leadership. The Qataris refused to allow Khaled Mashaal to approve a longer-term truce with Israel without their participation in the talks, and threatened to kick Mashaal out of the country unless he began waging war again to pressure Egypt into an invitation:

A senior Fatah official is quoted by the pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat as saying that the Qatari government threatened to expel the Hamas political bureau chief, Khaled Mashaal, if the Palestinian Islamist group agreed to the Egyptian cease-fire proposal. …

The Fatah official told Al-Hayat that Hamas has insisted that Qatar be given a seat at the negotiating table in Cairo. According to the official, Hamas wants either the Qatari foreign minister or the head of intelligence to be permitted to take part in the discussions.

Egypt has adamantly refused to permit Qatar to participate in the cease-fire talks, according to the report. Cairo wants a Qatari apology for the government’s policies toward Egypt since the military coup against the Muslim Brotherhood brought Abdel Fattah al-Sisi to power.

If so, that puts the US in a difficult spot. Several American administrations have tried to build up an alliance with the Qataris, and we recently sold them $11 billion in military equipment to sweeten the relationship. Even more recently, Barack Obama cut a deal with the Taliban for the release of Bowe Bergdahl that included the release of five of the most dangerous Taliban figures in Guantanamo, who will spend the next year under the supervision of the same Qataris. If this report from the “senior Fatah official” is true, then it considerably undermines what little confidence Americans had in the Bergdahl swap, among other things.

Among those other things is John Kerry, Jeff Dunetz argues:

If the Al-Hayat report is true then the break down of talks falls directly at the feet of John Kerry. It was the United States Secretary of State who initially brought Qatar into the talks over the objections of Israel, Egypt and the Palestinian Authority. Now that those parties have frozen out the terrorist-funding Qatar, the Qatari government want to make sure they don’t succeed.

That’s true even if this report isn’t. The idea to rope Turkey and Qatar into the process was a dumb idea from the beginning, as it legitimized Hamas as a governing organization rather than treated them as the terrorist group that they are. It cut the knees out from under the Palestinian Authority as well, with whom Israel had at least some basis of cooperation in the West Bank. That brings us to whether this report can be trusted, however. Fatah has every reason to pin failure on Qatar in order to keep them out of the peace talks. Qatar will favor Hamas over Fatah in any settlement in which they participate, so it’s in Fatah’s interest as well as Egypt’s to keep them locked out of the talks.

As to the identity of the “senior Fatah official” who spoke to Al-Hayat, don’t forget who went to Qatar this week: Mahmoud Abbas. He was set to meet with Mashaal today or tomorrow to discuss the peace talks, but that was scheduled prior to Israel uncovering the Hamas coup plot against the Palestinian Authority. To say that there is motivation to marginalize Hamas and its Qatari backers is to engage in understatement.

Egypt, meanwhile, is not about to invite the Qataris or anyone else backing Hamas to these talks. They are fighting their own insurgency in the Sinai, for which they blame the Muslim Brotherhood, which is the parent organization of Hamas. Today they found four beheaded corpses near a village in the peninsula, and Reuters reports that this is part of a stepped-up terror campaign by MB-linked groups protesting the al-Sisi military government:

Four beheaded corpses were found by residents of a town in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula on Wednesday, security sources said, blaming Islamist militants waging an insurgency against Cairo.

The security sources in Sinai and Cairo, said residents of Sheikh Zuwaid found the bodies two days after the men were abducted by gunmen while traveling in a car in the town, a few kilometers from the Gaza Strip.

Though the men were civilians, they may have been targeted for their perceived allegiance to the police and army, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity. They gave no other indication of the identity of the men.

The militants have stepped up attacks on policemen and soldiers since then-army chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi toppled President Mohamed Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood in July 2013.

The government does not distinguish between the Sinai militants and the Brotherhood, which it has designated a terrorist group although the movement says it is peaceful and denies any links to the wave of militant attacks.

In other words, Cairo won’t be particularly well disposed to nations who fund MB-related groups anyway, and that probably applies particularly to Hamas. If John Kerry wants to be useful, he should apply American pressure on Qatar to butt out of the Gaza peace process, or kick Mashaal out for good and let him take his own chances in Gaza City rather than cheer on war from the safety of Doha. The Israelis are targeting Hamas leadership now that Hamas has broken another cease-fire, but Mashaal might have more to fear from other Gazans if he shows up in the enclave.


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Tuesday, August 19, 2014

Rockets land in Beersheba after Gaza truce extended another 24 hours; Update: Netanyahu orders IDF to respond

RocketslandinBeershebaafterGazatruceextended

Rockets land in Beersheba after Gaza truce extended another 24 hours; Update: Netanyahu orders IDF to respond

posted at 9:21 am on August 19, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

So much for the cease-fire. The rockets and mortars in and out of Gaza had been  quiet for another few hours, honoring a request from Egypt, while all sides on the conflict remain focused on indirect talks for a so-called permanent truce. Instead, just a little while after the extension of the previous cease-fire, rockets fired from Gaza hit southern Israel today:

The Israeli military says three rockets have been fired from the Gaza Strip, breaking a temporary cease-fire amid negotiations over the war between Israel and Hamas.

The military says three rockets landed in open fields Tuesday near the southern city of Beersheba.

At least for now, that may not be enough to restart the war. No word has yet come about responsibility for the attacks, but Hamas has up to now been able to control all of the factions on the ground. Israel can choose to ignore the provocation, and it may as long as more rocket fire does not come from Gaza. They’re winning the public-relations war at the moment, and they can afford to be patient and let Hamas unravel the peace themselves.

(Update: Or maybe not. Netanyahu has ordered the IDF to respond, although that may be limited to just the area where the rocket fire originated.)

The violation seemed inevitable anyway. The multilateral talks appear to be going in circles, as Hamas insists on winning an end to the blockade, the Palestinian Authority seeks to end Hamas’ control, and Israel demands security guarantees that will allow them to crush any more attempts to create tunnels under the border:

At the Cairo talks, Israel is seeking guarantees of “peace and quiet,” a cessation of all rocket fire and tunnel operations, and, ultimately, the disarming of the Gaza Strip.

For their part, Hamas, which controls the coastal enclave, and the Palestinian Authority, which controls the West Bank, want an opening of all border crossings and an end to the trade and travel restrictions imposed by Israel and Egypt that make Gaza, in the Palestinians’ words, “an open-air prison.” The Palestinians want restrictions on building materials lifted, and they are requesting permission to build a seaport and rehabilitate Yasser Arafat International Airport, which has been closed for 13 years.

Israel is seeking support for its view that any arrangement with Hamas, whether a signed cease-fire or something short of that, must allow Israel to return to Gaza to destroy new or rebuilt tunnels.

“The way we dealt with the tunnel issues was a mistake,” said Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Tzahi Hanegbi. “We knew about them, we had enough intelligence about this strategic threat” but miscalculated by thinking that the threat was containable.

“This policy is not going to repeat itself,” he said.

The news of a Hamas coup plot against the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank throws a monkey wrench into the works, too. Mahmoud Abbas had been working on behalf of Hamas with Israel, pushing to partially restore economic exchanges across the border crossings. Abbas still plans to meet with Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal today, who’s been hiding out in Qatar during this fight, and that may be a little … interesting:

Exiled Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal, who lives in Qatar, is set to meet Thursday in the Qatari capital of Doha with Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas, who remains head of the Palestinian Authority.

On the agenda will be the latest cease-fire proposal advanced by Egypt, and everything else that is going on in the region and affecting their two factions.

It is Mashaal, egged on by Qatar and possibly also Iran, who has stopped Hamas in Gaza from settling on an Egyptian-brokered cease-fire agreement with Israel thus far.

Mashal is no friend of Abbas, particularly since Hamas has worked hard to sabotage the recent ‘reconciliation’ deal with which he tried to build a new Palestinian Authority unity government.

Abbas ditched US financial support to bring Hamas into the PA earlier this year, and this was the thanks he got for it. This looks like a media splash more than anything else, a box-checker of a meeting. For the purposes of the Cairo negotiations, it won’t make much difference.

The Times of Israel reports that the Netanyahu government is willing to ease the blockade if it gets the security guarantees it wants — even before Gaza fully disarms:

The sources told Ynet that the agreement between Israel and the US on the terms of a deal with Hamas was reached secretly and entails Israel opening the land crossings into Gaza, followed by sea access, not objecting to the payment of salaries to Hamas men in Gaza, and facilitating the reconstruction of Gaza with international aid.

The US, according to the report, will support Israel’s demand to prevent the rearmament of Hamas and other terror groups in Gaza, and will help Israel promote this goal in the international sphere. Israel reportedly gave up on the demand that terror groups in Gaza disarm.

The Jerusalem Post’s sources say Israel hasn’t gone that far:

The PA’s envoy to Cairo, Jamal Shobak said that Israel was offering to partially lift the blockade on Gaza , Israel Radio reported.

Sources in Jerusalem denied media reports that Israel had made an agreement with the United States about lifting the blockade on Gaza.

As yet another cease-fire deadline loomed, residents in the South were warned to stay near a protected space in case rocket firings on Israel start up again, though there are no other restrictions placed on the region for now.

For the last eight days, Egypt has brokered the latest stage of indirect talks. Reports out of Cairo indicated that an understanding was in the works that addressed some Palestinian demands, while delaying discussion on other issues for one month.

Unconfirmed Palestinian sources said that Israel agreed Monday to certain conditions such as opening Gaza border crossings for building materials to be transferred under international supervision, and an extension of the enclave’s fishing zone by an additional six miles. Israel has not confirmed the reports.

Israel had earlier offered to extend the fishing zone, which will make embargo patrols a little more complicated but not impossible. It seems doubtful that Israel will give up entirely on demilitarization of Gaza, although they might in exchange for the right to enter Gaza to destroy tunnels at any time. But would Hamas ever agree to that condition? To call that “doubtful” would be cheery optimism.

Netanyahu is on tricky ground in Israel, too. Having made the case for war against Hamas so well and convinced Israelis that the need for victory is so critical, he may have trouble selling a truce. According to a new poll, 58% of Israelis want to wage war until total victory over Hamas — and only two people in the 600-respondent poll thinks Israel should accede to Hamas’ demands:

Only four tenths of a percent of Israeli Jews think Israel should accept Hamas’s demands in order to stop rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, the monthly Peace Index poll sponsored by the Israel Democracy Institute and Tel Aviv University revealed Tuesday.

The poll of 600 respondents who constitute a representative sample of the adult population of Israel was taken last Monday and Tuesday and has a margin of error of 4.1 percent. It found that 58% of Israeli Jews think Israel does not have to meet any Hamas demands and should continue to fight until Hamas surrenders, and 41% think Israel should respond positively to Hamas’s demands that are reasonable in terms of Israel’s national security.

On the other hand, Israelis are very pessimistic that Israel can achieve that victory — and that a truce will deliver the peace and quiet sought by Netanyahu for any significant length of time:

The poll found that an overwhelming majority of Israeli Jews are pessimistic that the goal set at the beginning of Operation Protective Edge of restoring quiet will be achieved. Seventy-one percent of Israeli Jews said they thought chances are low that the operation would lead to three years or more of complete quiet from Gaza.  Only 25% of Israeli Jews think chances for complete quiet of at least three years is high.

The stakes are high for all parties, and each of them have significant reason to hope that the cease-fire effort backfires on someone else. That’s not a great basis for a lasting truce, let alone a peace. Don’t expect the three rockets this morning to be the last, even in the short term.


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Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Buyer’s remorse in Gaza?

Buyer’sremorseinGaza? postedat1:21

Buyer’s remorse in Gaza?

posted at 1:21 pm on August 13, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

If anyone has a case for buyer’s remorse, it’s the Palestinians in Gaza. They elected Hamas to power after the Israeli withdrawal from the territory in a rebuke to Fatah’s corruption, and have suffered for it ever since. The corruption simply changed hands, and worse yet was Hamas’ attempts to militarize Gaza. That forced both Israel and Egypt to close the borders and enforce an embargo (which, contrary to common perception, happened after Hamas’ election and not before). Hamas regularly uses residential areas as cover for their rocket fire, which makes their homes and schools targets for Israeli retaliation, not to mention the tunnel entrances that Hamas created under their feet. In this latest edition of the Gaza war, more than 1900 Palestinians have died, and many more rendered homeless by the destruction created by Hamas’ war of choice.

Have they had enough of Hamas? That’s a complicated question, but the Washington Post’s Sudarsan Raghavan reports that opposition may be the result of this latest war — and especially the refusal to accept the cease-fire proposal at the beginning of it:

As the Palestinian death toll tops 1,900, more and more Gazans are questioning the decisions and strategies of Hamas, the militant Islamist group that tightly controls the Gaza Strip and is known to intimidate — and sometimes harm — those critical of its policies. Most of the disapproval is still beneath the surface, hinted at only in private conversations. But inbattered enclaves such as Beit Lahiya, discontent is bubbling up openly, fueled by a sense of helplessness and fatigue.

The criticism does not necessarily reflect a loss of support for Hamas. Most Palestinians, even Hamas’s biggest detractors, say they back the current war against Israel, believing it is the only way to achieve the short-term Palestinian demands of lifting the Israeli and Egyptian economic blockades of Gaza and opening the strip’s border crossings. No Beit Lahiya residents accuse Hamas of using them as human shields, as Israel claims, even as they acknowledge that militants are firing rockets from their neighborhoods.

Perhaps they don’t accuse Hamas of using them as human shields for the same reason many of them won’t speak out against Hamas openly. Hamas isn’t exactly a model of political tolerance, after all. The ruling group confirmed last week that it had executed so-called “collaborators,” after multiple reports that protestors against Hamas had been murdered for their activism. Hamas has also executed dozens of tunnel workers in an effort to keep intelligence on their underground systems from reaching the IDF.

That may explain why Gazans don’t speak publicly about their unhappiness with Hamas, or their plight as human shields. Neither can really be denied, however. Video from news organizations have shown Hamas setting up rocket launchers next to hotels and residential structures, inviting retaliation from the IDF that ends up killing civilians and displacing many others. That’s why Gaza looks like this now:

Even with the denials, which Raghavan repeats for emphasis at the end of the article, it’s clear that Gazans want a change for some reason. And that reason is because they’ve concluded that being human shields is not any way to live life:

Now, some Palestinians are questioning the decision to reject the first truce. Roughly 200 Palestinians had been killed in the fighting at that time. Today, amid another Egyptian-led truce effort, the death toll is nearly 10 times greater, and Gaza is a wasteland of destruction that exceeds that left behind after the previous two Israel-Hamas conflicts, in 2009 and 2012.

“All the people are whispering, ‘Why didn’t Hamas accept the Egyptian initiative in the beginning of the war when the casualties were still low?’ ” said Hani Habib, a Palestinian journalist and political analyst.

Those sentiments can be heard around Beit Lahiya, a sprawling, hilly enclave of large houses abutting the border with Israel. Many residents said they were exhausted from bearing the brunt of the war, noting that the fighting had done much less damage to Israel.

“They should have accepted the cease-fire,” said Hathem Mena, 55, a teacher, referring to Hamas and other Palestinian militants. “It would have stopped the bloodshed. We are the ones affected by the war, our houses and our lives. The destruction is over on this side, not the Israeli side.”

The reason for that is Israel builds systems to protect its civilians from Hamas’ attacks. Hamas builds its systems in residential areas to use civilians to protect Hamas from Israel’s attacks. As long as that happens, the damage from Hamas’ wars will always be in the Gazans’ own homes, and Hamas will continue to make war with Israel as long as Gazans leave them in power.

Meanwhile, the Egyptians believe they have a formula for a more permanent cease-fire that will attract both sides, but time is running out:

Mediators have proposed that talks on key Palestinian demands of a seaport and an airport in Gaza be delayed until a month after a permanent ceasefire takes effect, according to the Egyptian proposal contained in documents seen by AFP on Wednesday.

Negotiations on proposals for the handover of the bodies of two slain Israeli soldiers held by Palestinian militants in exchange for the release of prisoners in Israeli jails would also be postponed, according to the document.

Under the proposal, the buffer zone along Gaza’s border with Israel would be gradually reduced and guarded by Palestinian Authority president Mahmud Abbas’s security teams.

The negotiations “are in a very sensitive stage and we hope to reach an agreement” before midnight (2100 GMT), said Palestinian delegation head Azzam al-Ahmed.

Hamas is understood to be demanding clear commitments to opening the ports in Gaza, even if they are to be established at a later date.

The Palestinians, included Hamas, are also demanding an end to the eight-year blockade of Gaza.

The blockade will be the sticking point. There is no way that Israel will relax the blockade and allow Hamas to rearm significantly. Egypt purposefully has remained vague on that point, but proposes that the blockade be part of later negotiations — but not with Hamas. Instead, the Palestinian Authority would conduct those negotiations, which might mean that Gazans who suffer under Hamas might think twice about their choice of leadership seven years ago.

The cease-fire expires at midnight local time (5 pm ET), and Israel says it’s prepared for the worst:

Israel warned Palestinian militant groups in the Gaza Strip they face a harsh response if rocket fire from the Hamas-ruled area resumes, as the midnight expiry of a three-day truce drew near without word of an extension.

“Israeli forces are ready for any development,” Israeli Minister of Intelligence and Strategic Affairs Yuval Steinitz told reporters in Jerusalem today. “Quiet will be answered by quiet on our side, but if Hamas will resume the bombardment of Israeli citizens and towns, their rocket and mortar bombardments, our counterstrike will be very strong.”

Israeli and Hamas leaders have sounded pessimistic about turning the 72-hour pause in hostilities into a more permanent truce after four weeks of violence that killed more than 1,900 Palestinians and 67 people on the Israeli side. Hamas said this would be its last cease-fire effort.

If they restart the Gaza war, it might be their last turn at being in charge. Gazan grumbling is getting out into the open, which considering Hamas’ bloody imposition of power, demonstrates just how unpopular their war and their leadership has become.


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AP journalist among dead in Gaza explosion as ceasefire set to expire

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AP journalist among dead in Gaza explosion as ceasefire set to expire

posted at 8:41 am on August 13, 2014 by Noah Rothman

An unexploded munition detonated in Gaza on Wednesday during an attempt to neutralize that device. Six were killed in that explosion, including one of Gaza’s top explosives decommissioning expert and an Associated Press photographer.

Simone Camilli, 35, died Wednesday when Gaza police engineers were neutralizing unexploded ordnance in the Gaza town of Beit Lahiya left over from fighting between Israel and Islamic militants.

Camilli and a translator working with the AP, Ali Shehda Abu Afash, were accompanying the ordnance team on assignment when the explosion occurred. The police said four other people were seriously injured, including AP photographer Hatem Moussa.

Camilli, an Italian national, had worked for The Associated Press since 2005.

Camilli is the first foreign journalist killed over the course of the more than one-month-old conflict in Gaza.

The situation in Gaza is increasingly tense as the current ceasefire agreement, which has held since Sunday, is set to expire at midnight. Both Israeli and Gazan negotiators are mulling an Egyptian ceasefire proposal which appears to have fallen short of both Israeli and Hamas’s demands.

“Palestinian officials told The Associated Press early Wednesday morning that Egypt’s proposal calls for easing parts of the Israeli blockade of Gaza, bringing some relief to the territory,” an AP report read. “But it leaves the key areas of disagreement, including the Islamic militant group Hamas’ demand for a full lifting of the blockade and Israeli calls for Hamas to disarm, to later negotiations”

If the sides accept the proposal it would have a significant impact on Palestinians in Gaza as it would improve the movement of individuals and merchandise to the West Bank, the officials said. Gaza exports and other businesses have been hit hard by restrictions imposed on the territory by Israel and Egypt after Hamas took control of Gaza in 2007.

One of the Palestinian officials who spoke to AP said that according to the Egyptian proposal the blockade would be gradually eased.

It was not immediately clear if either side would accept the deal.

“We would like to see more cross-border freedom, and also to have the question of a Gaza seaport and airport discussed,” a Palestinian negotiator told reporters.

Both sides have offered the other some concessions in peace negotiations. Israel has agreed to extend the blockade in order to allow Palestinian fishermen to travel up to 12 miles away from the Gaza shoreline. Hamas agreed to allow the Palestinian Authority to control the Rafah border crossing into Egypt for the first time since the group came to power in 2007.

With the particulars of a long-term ceasefire proposal apparently requiring a longer negotiating period to settle, Egypt is pushing both parties to agree to the temporary ceasefire.


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Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Britain: If hostilities break out in Gaza again, we’re cutting Israel off

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Britain: If hostilities break out in Gaza again, we’re cutting Israel off

posted at 4:41 pm on August 12, 2014 by Noah Rothman

Last week, British police reported a disturbing and significant rise in anti-Semitic attacks on local Jews since the start of the latest conflict in Gaza.

“Figures seen by the BBC show recorded hate crimes against Jewish people living in London have doubled compared with the same period last year, while police in Manchester said they had seen an increase in anti-Semitic crime over the last month,” the BBC reported.

In totally unrelated news, the British government revealed on Tuesday that they are suffering from a terminal case of moral equivalency and are prepared to cut off military aid to Israel if “significant hostilities” resume in Gaza.

Secretary of State for Business, Innovation, and Skills and Liberal Democrat MP Vince Cable announced this week that the United Kingdom would suspend the export licenses of 12 British firms which send Israel arms like radar systems, aircraft, and tanks if any new hostilities in Gaza restart.

The Huffington Post U.K. reported that the British left is incensed by how “weak” this move is against Israel. Presumably, they would prefer that the government retroactively suspend arms trade to Israel and request that Israel send back any arms which they have acquired from British firms.

Fellow Lib Dem and Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg recently expressed his support for an anti-Israel arms embargo saying that the Jewish state had “overstepped the mark” in its prosecution of the conflict with Hamas in Gaza.

Here is a brief review of the extensive lengths to which the IDF goes to avoid civilian casualties – rule of engagement to which neither the British nor the American armed forces would agree to be bound.

Hostilities have resumed on several occasions in Gaza after reports indicated that Hamas militants violated the terms of a number of temporary ceasefire agreements. On August 8, Hamas rocket fire into Israel shattered a tense peace. Another 72-hour cease fire which went into effect on August 1 lasted just 90 minutes before Hamas militants killed three IDF soldiers who were clearing and dismantling a tunnel network (as per the terms of that ceasefire).

None of this matter much, however, when your position is not logical but guided by emotion and reflex. And the reflex in Europe, it seems, is to lurch toward the abhorrent anti-Semitism which characterized the mid-20th Century.

If there was ever a sound argument against the necessity of a free and viable Jewish state, Europe is refuting it on a daily basis.


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Monday, August 11, 2014

Israel to push for comprehensive peace plan in new cease-fire negotiations?

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Israel to push for comprehensive peace plan in new cease-fire negotiations?

posted at 9:21 am on August 11, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

Stop me if you’ve heard this before. The world demands a humanitarian cease fire in Gaza. Israel and Hamas agree to a time-limited truce. At the end of the truce period (and sometimes a lot closer to the start), Hamas starts firing rockets into Israel, and the war starts up again. Lather, rinse, repeat:

So far the truce has held, according to the Jerusalem Post, which already disqualifies it as the least successful cease fire in this latest round of war in Gaza:

Israel and the Palestinians began talks in Cairo on Monday in hopes of reaching a long-range truce to end hostilities in Gaza, Egypt’s state news agency MENA said.

The indirect talks are being mediated by Egypt and began a day after the two sides agreed to begin a new 72-hour cease-fire.

Shortly after Egyptian media announced on Sunday evening that a cease-fire had been accepted by both sides, Israeli officials stated that Israel had accepted a truce but would only send a delegation to Cairo on Monday if Hamas kept the peace overnight. There have been no rockets fired at Israel from Gaza since the truce went into effect at midnight.

According to the officials, the decision was taken in accordance with Israel’s policy that it will not negotiate while under fire.

The Israelis may have something else in mind this time. Rather than hearing demands from its neighbors to keep playing this game, one Israeli Cabinet member has challenged them to do something about it — by demanding a comprehensive regional peace plan that recognizes their right to exist as a Jewish state. Yaakov Perry even offered to start talks on the basis of an Arab League plan that Israel rejected earlier:

One of the proposals comes from a heavyweight who straddles the worlds of defense and politics, Yaakov Perry. He is a former chief of Israel’s security service, the Shin Bet. He is a member of parliament from the secular Yesh Atid party and the minister of science, technology and space.

In an interview with The Washington Post on Sunday evening, Perry said Israel should propose that the talks in Cairo become regional in composition and aspiration. He suggested inviting Egypt and Jordan, the two Arab countries that have peace treaties with Israel, as well as Saudi Arabia and several Persian Gulf states that share an interest in combating Islamist extremists.

Perry envisions focusing the Cairo talks on the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, where Israeli airstrikes and artillery attacks have destroyed thousands of homes and much of the infrastructure. When that phase is completed, he said, the talks could expand to seeking a resolution to the decades-long conflict between Israel and the Palestinians.

“Let’s take the Saudi initiative, and we will try to negotiate a plan to bring an end to the Israeli-Arab dispute,” he said, referring to a peace plan proposed by Saudi Arabia in 2002 and later embraced by the 22-member Arab League. “Inside this framework, it will be easier to deal with [the] Palestinians on bilateral negotiations, which have failed.”

He said this is the first time a member of the Israeli government has publicly endorsed basing talks on what became known as the Arab Peace Initiative, which offered Israel normalized relations throughout the Arab world. But it was a take-it-or-leave-it deal, entailing concessions too painful for Israel to accept, such as a withdrawal from the occupied territories, including East Jerusalem, and “a right of return” for Palestinians who fled when Israel was founded in 1948.

At least this has the virtue of novelty, and perhaps more value as a flanking maneuver. Israel won’t win this by negotiating with Hamas anyway; Hamas is committed to Israel’s destruction, and as long as they’re in charge there will be no peace in Gaza. Israel has to find a way to push Hamas aside without opening up a vacuum that will allow a worse alternative to take its place. Voila: the Arab League. The neighboring Arab nations hate Hamas too, and would love to see it expelled or at least marginalized in the region. A comprehensive regional peace plan would lock Iran out of Palestinian politics entirely and allow for a greater focus on the threat coming from Tehran rather than the constant irritation of Palestinian uprisings. They’ll never get the “right of return,” but the Arabs could gain some other concessions, especially on the West Bank wall and some of the settlements in exchange for purging Hamas from Gaza and getting the Palestinian Authority to take over its governance.

At least, that’ll be the theory. And even if the talks can’t pull off the improbable, at least the effort will be a little more productive than listening to Hamas demand that Israel commit national suicide by reopening the border crossings under Hamas leadership.

Update: CNN’s Martin Savidge experienced the Israeli process of sending a “knock missile” ahead of an air strike while on tape. This took place before the cease-fire (via Jake Tapper):


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Sunday, August 10, 2014

Open thread: Sunday morning talking heads

Openthread:Sundaymorningtalkingheads

Open thread: Sunday morning talking heads

posted at 8:01 am on August 10, 2014 by Allahpundit

Nothing much going on this Sunday morning on the chat shows except for Putin preparing to gobble up eastern Ukraine, ISIS preparing to gobble up Kurdistan, and Obama preparing to gobble up what’s left of separation of powers with his looming executive order on amnesty. Seems like a moment that might warrant an appearance by a cabinet member, if not The One himself, but as I write this no one from the administration is scheduled to appear. It’s left to former Obama appointees, like ambassador to Iraq James Jeffrey and national security advisor James Jones, to pick up the slack on “Face the Nation” and “State of the Union” respectively. Hmmm.

It’s a good day for Republican hawks, though. McCain will also be on “State of the Union,” Lindsey Graham will lead on “Fox News Sunday,” and Kelly Ayotte will appear on “Political Capital” on Bloomberg TV. Where are the doves? Or are there any when it comes to ISIS? The full line-up is at Politico.


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Friday, August 8, 2014

Israel responds to Hamas rocket attacks

IsraelrespondstoHamasrocketattacks posted

Israel responds to Hamas rocket attacks

posted at 12:41 pm on August 8, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

It was quiet while it lasted. This 72-hour cease-fire lived up to its name, and not much more, as Hamas began firing rockets at Israel after it expired. After waiting a few hours, Israel began responding militarily — and the Gaza war is back on:

Rockets from Gaza hit Israel early Friday morning, breaking the cease-fire, according to the Israel Defense Forces.

“Moments ago, 2 rockets fired from Gaza hit southern Israel. Terrorists have violated the cease-fire,” the IDF wrote on Twitter.

It wasn’t immediately clear how Israel would respond.

Earlier, negotiators in Cairo had been scrambling to extend the Gaza cease-fire. A Hamas official had told supporters in Gaza City that the group was ready to resume fighting if it didn’t win key concessions in the talks.

“We are ready to return to the battle if the Palestinian demands are not met in Cairo,” Hamas spokesman Mosher al-Masry told a crowd of supporters waving the group’s green flags.

Last night, Netanyahu spokesman Mark Regev told Jake Tapper that Hamas was “the wild card” when it comes to peace:

“If they do so,” Regev said about a violation of the cease-fire, “then I think it will be exposed before the whole world who Hamas is.” Hamas had already been exposed before the whole world long before this, even if some refuse to quit thinking of them as a partner for peace and governance. If nothing else, the collapse of the previous cease-fire after 90 minutes left so much egg on the faces of their apologists that Regev’s point makes itself.

With few other choices, Israel resumed its bombardment of Hamas positions in Gaza, while Egypt wondered what went wrong:

Israel launched air strikes across the Gaza Strip on Friday in response to Palestinian rockets fired after Egyptian-mediated talks failed to extend a 72-hour truce in the month-long war.

Egypt later called for a resumption of the ceasefire, saying only a few points remained to be agreed. Palestinian factions said they would meet Egyptian mediators later in the day, but there was no sign of any imminent deal.

There was also no immediate response from Israel. However, a government official said earlier that Israel would not negotiate with Palestinians while militants continued to unleash missiles.

As warning sirens sounded in southern Israel, the military said Hamas had fired at least 45 rockets on Friday morning and Israel’s “Iron Dome” interceptor system had brought down two.

By resuming its attacks, Hamas appeared to be trying to put pressure on Israel, making clear it was ready to fight on to end a blockade of Gaza that both Israel and neighbouring Egypt have imposed on the impoverished enclave.

Throughout this conflict, Hamas has appeared to have fallen into the trap of believing its own press. They still seem to be suffering from the illusion that (a) this conflict is the central diplomatic concern in the region, and (b) they have a reservoir of sympathy on which to draw. The very fact that Egypt is still running the cease-fire negotiations should have disabused them of that notion, and the US bombing of ISIS in Iraq the other. Their ideological compatriots in Nineveh are conducting an actual genocide and massacre, unlike what Hamas accuses Israel of doing in Gaza, and the contrast today could not possibly be more stark.

What prompted Hamas to restart the war? They demanded an end to the blockade and embargo, which Israel refused for the exact reason Hamas demonstrated afterward. Hamas will use a lifting of the blockade to re-arm, which is why Israel will only agree to lift it when Gaza is completely and verifiably demilitarized. Hamas has to get the trade channels reopened, though, because they need the tax revenue to pay for their operations against Israel and also the resources from that trade to rebuild their tunnels. Israel wants to starve Hamas of those funds, and hopefully cripple them politically as well as economically and militarily.

Egypt may well throw in the towel and allow the Israelis to deal with Hamas on their own:

Hamas’s refusal to extend the ceasefire could further alienate Egypt, whose government has been hostile to the group and which ultimately controls Gaza’s main gateway to the world, the Rafah border crossing.

Expect Egypt to tighten those screws as a means to pressure Hamas into submission soon. In the meantime, the people of Gaza that Hamas has used as human shields are evacuating as Hamas attacks … again:

At some point, the Gazans may become more deadly to Hamas than Israel. That tipping point might come soon, if Hamas doesn’t figure out how to declare victory and hide for a few months.


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Source from: hotair

So, a lot of those civilian casualties in Gaza were young men in their 20s…

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So, a lot of those civilian casualties in Gaza were young men in their 20s…

posted at 9:21 am on August 8, 2014 by Noah Rothman

The lopsided death toll in the conflict in Gaza, which appears to be resuming following the conclusion of fruitless peace negotiations, has prompted many Western commentators to condemn Israel’s prosecution of that conflict. Even United States officials have urged Israel to observe even more “restraint,” well beyond the lengths the Israeli Defense Forces already go to in order to minimize civilian deaths.

Since the start of the conflict on August 6, according to UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), 1,843 Palestinians had died in this conflict, many of whom were civilians. 66 Israelis lost their lives in the fighting, and nearly all of them have been soldiers.

But a number of news organizations have been attempting to quantify the precise number of civilians killed over the course of the conflict in Gaza. An interesting result of one such investigation was to determine that young men of fighting age were disproportionately represented among the Palestinian dead.

Via the BBC:

An analysis by the New York Times looked at the names of 1,431 casualties and found that “the population most likely to be militants, men ages 20 to 29, is also the most overrepresented in the death toll. They are 9% of Gaza’s 1.7 million residents, but 34% of those killed whose ages were provided.”

“At the same time, women and children under 15, the least likely to be legitimate targets, were the most underrepresented, making up 71% of the population and 33% of the known-age casualties.”

A similar investigation conducted by Al Jazeera came up with the same conclusion: young men in their 20s were vastly overrepresented in the Palestinian death toll.

An Israeli spokesman told BBC reporters that the United Nations’ figure is based on numbers provided by the Gaza health ministry which is operated by Hamas. “He said that part of the reason for the discrepancy between the figures was ‘when militants are brought to hospitals, they are brought in civilian clothing, obscuring terrorist affiliations,’” the BBC reported.

The implicit condemnation of Israel which so many news organizations allowed themselves to engage in now looks more than a little misguided. Perhaps the press should not have taken the United Nations and Hamas entirely at its word, considering their status as a U.S.-designated terrorist group and all.


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Source from: hotair

Thursday, August 7, 2014

Fighting in Gaza may resume in hours after Hamas makes unrealistic demands of Israel

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Fighting in Gaza may resume in hours after Hamas makes unrealistic demands of Israel

posted at 6:01 pm on August 7, 2014 by Noah Rothman

Thursday has delivered yet another blow to those forever trying to construct a moral equivalency between Israel and Hamas.

With the ceasefire in the Gaza strip set to expire in hours, negotiations between Israel and Hamas have ground to a halt. Israel has demanded that Hamas disarm, but it has indicated that it is willing to extend the ceasefire without precondition in order to allow negotiations to continue. Hamas, for its part, wants no part of that deal.

The terrorist group’s military wing has instructed peace negotiators in Egypt to reject any truce agreement unless all of its demands are met.

What are those demands, you ask? “Hamas has demanded the lifting of an Israeli and Egyptian blockade imposed on the coastal territory after the Islamic militant group seized power in 2007,” the Associated Press reported.

That is a nonstarter for both Israel and Egypt, which fear that Hamas militants will use the relaxed restrictions on ingress and egress to import armaments and defensive materials.

This report was leaked to the press via an Egyptian official who, according to the AP, expressed his concerns over the Hamas delegation growing increasingly unreasonable.

The Egyptian security official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the media, said the Palestinian delegation’s stance had hardened after the arrival in Cairo of Hamas and Islamic Jihad leaders from the Gaza Strip.

Israeli government spokesman Mark Regev confirmed on Thursday in an interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper that Israel is prepared to consider easing the restrictions on the blockade of Gaza as long as there had been verifiable disarmament of the Hamas militants first.

“The rockets led to the restrictions,” Regev said. “If the rockets stop, if the violence stops, the restrictions can be eased.”

The counterpoint is that Hamas has little incentive to cease the violence because when the West Bank disarmed and the Palestinian Authority became a more responsible international actor, they got little for it. This is not an entirely unfounded concern, but to agree with this argument is to concede that violence against Israel is justified in order to achieve a political objective… which no one would ever come out and say…

Maybe the increasingly one-sided nature of the conflict in Gaza will prompt the global community to begin expressing their hope that Hamas rather than Israel will observe “restraint.” Maybe United Nations officials will condemn Hamas’s excessive and unproductive actions…

Hilarious, I know. But one can dream.


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Source from: hotair