Showing posts with label Colorado. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Colorado. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Desperation, thy name is Colorado’s Mark Udall

Desperation,thynameisColorado’sMarkUdall

Desperation, thy name is Colorado’s Mark Udall

posted at 8:01 am on August 6, 2014 by Noah Rothman

Save for one New York Times/CBS online poll, which was savaged by The American Association for Public Opinion Research for demonstrating “little grounding in theory,” incumbent Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) cannot point to much evidence to suggest that he’s going to have a good year at the polls. That survey was the only since March to find the incumbent senator cresting 50 percent support while maintaining a 4-point lead over his challenger, Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO).

The majority of the polling in the race Colorado’s U.S. Senate seat is not promising for the Udall camp. Outside of July 7 – 10 NBC News/Marist survey which found Udall leading Gardner by 7 points, almost every 2014 survey has shown Udall and Garner statistically tied with none indicating the incumbent has the support of a majority of Colorado voters.

But the public opinion surveys are only one metric that indicates that this race is competitive. Another is the incumbent’s behavior, and Udall’s camp is sending the signals that this race is too close for comfort.

This pattern of behavior is best exemplified in this latest ad which resurrects 2012’s War on Women with all the grace and prudence of Dr. Victor Frankenstein.

The themes in this spot are as familiar as they are ham-fisted; Gardner wants to make abortion a felony in all cases, opposes any form of contraception, and plans to force women to wear Burkas. Okay, even that last claim was too much for Udall’s ad-makers to embrace… but I doubt his team has ruled it out.

The ad “Backwards” is a near mirror image of another spot the Udall campaign ran against Gardner in April. You will recognize the themes and the nearly identical script of “Backwards” in this ad, “Respect.”

Politifact took on the claims in this ad and judged many of them to be misleading. While Gardner once supported personhood measures as a state representative, measures which were resoundingly rejected by Colorado voters in 2008 and 2010, he has since renounced that position.

In a further complication, Gardner recently made a major about-face, saying he no longer supports the personhood movement, partly because he now thinks it could potentially impact access to certain forms of birth control.

“The fact that it restricts contraception, it was not the right position,” Gardner told The Denver Post. “I’ve learned to listen. I don’t get everything right the first time.”

Gardner’s campaign notes that in 2007, he was one of five to cosponsor an anti-abortion measure in Colorado that specified that “nothing in this section shall prohibit the sale, use, prescription or administration of a contraceptive measure, device, drug or chemical.” This bill, his campaign said, demonstrates that while Gardner is pro-life, he is not anti-contraceptive.

Politifact still found it in their hearts to rate Udall’s ad “half true,” but even that is a dubious rating given the representative’s statements.

The polls suggest this race is close with the incumbent maintaining a slight edge, but Udall’s desperate ads indicate that it the race for Senate in Colorado may be closer than even the polls indicate.


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Monday, August 4, 2014

The race to sound like Republicans is on for Colorado Democrats

TheracetosoundlikeRepublicansison

The race to sound like Republicans is on for Colorado Democrats

posted at 9:21 pm on August 4, 2014 by Mary Katharine Ham

Here’s Andrew Romanoff’s first ad. I’ll give him audacity, standing in a beautiful Western landscape dotted with doomsday infographics where bison should be with a D next to his name and claiming to be for balanced federal budgets. Rich. Romanoff is running against Rep. Mike Coffman, one of national Democrats’ top targets. Romanoff was on the national scene most recently in 2010 when he lost the Democratic primary for Senate to Michael Bennett.

The Denver Post:

It’s an ad that Romanoff hopes will cast him as financially responsible in a district where he needs to win over plenty of moderates.

But the ad drew howls from Republicans who questioned Romanoff’s sincerity and picked apart his state legislative record.

“Let’s hope Speaker Romanoff is booking this advertisement on Comedy Central, because the idea Romanoff is a fiscal conservative is comedic,” said a statement from Coffman’s campaign manager, Tyler Sandberg. “As the Democratic leader of the State House, Romanoff led the crusade against fiscal restraint. He crammed down over a billion dollars in new taxes and fees on senior homeowners and small businesses and championed numerous outlandish taxing and borrowing schemes rejected by Colorado voters.”

In other adventures in emergency moderation, Gov. John Hickenlooper, Sen. Mark Udall, and Romanoff, as reported in Politico, have all three come out against environmental activists’ anti-fracking measures, which are supposed to be on the ballot this fall. First, Hickenlooper scrambled to subvert the effort with some kind of compromise legislation but failed. Today, he and the very liberal Rep. Jared Polis, who had formerly backed the measures, got together to decide that Polis would pull his support, allowing his deeply held values take one for the team.

That agreement among Gov. John Hickenlooper, Rep. Jared Polis, environmental groups and the oil and gas industry creates an 18-member task force that will study fracking in Colorado and present recommendations to the state legislature. In exchange, they’ve asked that organizers pull two pro-fracking and two anti-fracking measures and that a lawsuit against the city of Longmont be dismissed.

“We have an obligation to develop (energy) in a way that is safe for our residents, supports jobs and the economy, respects private property rights and protects our health and environment,” Hickenlooper said.

The task force will be charged to find solutions that minimize land-use conflicts near homes, schools, businesses and recreational areas. The state is seeking a balanced approach, he said, one that will represent diverse concerns from oil and gas, agriculture, environmental and health groups and local governments.

It was not immediately clear that the compromise necessarily means all four ballot initiatives will be removed. It seems activists would have the ability and option to go forward if they wished to, but it’s at least nice to see these uncomfortable fissures in the other party get some coverage for a change.

Probably best to have a little distance from these activists lest they bring the tactics of their European brethren to the States.


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Saturday, July 26, 2014

Hot Air interview: Congressman Cory Gardner, Colorado Senate candidate

HotAirinterview:CongressmanCoryGardner,ColoradoSenate

Hot Air interview: Congressman Cory Gardner, Colorado Senate candidate

posted at 8:31 am on July 26, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

With some very big money pouring into the race for Colorado’s Senate seat, this battle has been on the watch list for most political observers. Democrat Mark Udall has been listed as one of the most endangered members of his party this season and he’s currently in a neck and neck race with Congressman Cory Gardner (R – CO 4). Representative Gardner was nice enough to grant Hot Air an interview this week to discuss the state of the race and his take on a few of the pressing issues of the day.

Hot Air: Congressman Gardner, thanks for making time for an interview with us this week. The New York Times recently listed Mark Udall as one of the top three “endangered Democrats” this cycle and Real Clear Politics poll average has your race at a dead heat. How are you doing in terms of the resources you’ll need for what’s shaping up to be a very tough race that the national media is really focusing on?

Cory Gardner: We are excited! We have received an overwhelming amount of support from Coloradans across the four corners of the state since we got into the race, and it has been incredible. We are continuing to gain more support from individuals across the state and the country every day. In fact, we raised more money from donors than any other republican senate challenger.

Senator Udall’s biggest supporters have poured millions into Senate Majority PAC this cycle. Former New York Mayor, billionaire Michael Bloomberg, has poured $2.5 million into Senate Majority PAC, which has spent just over $2 million attacking me this cycle. California billionaire Tom Steyer, who has a deeply troubling history of trying to take Colorado’s water, has donated $5 million to Senate Majority PAC this cycle. These out of state billionaires are making it more important than ever for conservatives to get involved this election season.

HA: Political analysts like to note that Colorado has been experiencing a significant demographic shift, particularly in terms of an increasing Hispanic population and populist efforts in support of progressive agenda items. How well does a traditional, fiscal conservative message resonate in your state in 2014?

CG: Meat and potato economic issues will always be important in Colorado. Regardless of political party, Coloradans want increased economic opportunity and prosperity for their children. Unfortunately, Senator Mark Udall has spent his time in the Senate looking out for President Obama instead of looking out for middle class Coloradans.

Coloradans want government out of the way. Mark Udall supports gun control measures that are more restrictive than those that led to successful recalls. He passed ObamaCare that took away plans people were promised they could keep. And he votes 99 percent of the time with Harry Reid.

It’s time for a new generation of leaders in Washington, DC and if Coloradans honor me by electing me as our next senator, I will fight for the middle class and make economic revitalization one of my main goals.

HA: When I do a search for news on your race, probably the biggest issue under discussion is immigration, another issue which can be impacted by demographic shifts. Particularly in light of the current border crisis to the South, how would you characterize the difference between yourself and your opponent when it comes to US immigration policy?

CG: We have a humanitarian crisis at our Southern border that underscores the broader need for responsible immigration reform. My opponent, Senator Udall, voted in favor of the Senate legislation that the Congressional Budget Office estimates would decrease illegal immigration by as little as 33%. Our current problems require long-term reform, not short-term Washington fixes. I believe we should move forward with an immigration policy that prioritizes border security, and that includes a viable guest-worker program that capitalizes on the benefits of legal immigration to this country.

HA: Changing topics, over the 4th of July weekend we saw over five dozen shootings in the city of Chicago, with even more since then. Whenever headlines like this make the news, new rounds of calls go out for measures to limit the rights of gun owners. What can we expect from you in the Senate when inevitable future measures come up for a vote on things like more stringent federal background checks, limiting magazine capacity and the banning of so called “assault rifles” for use by citizens?

CG: I am a staunch defender of the Second Amendment, and will continue my strong record of defending our rights in the Senate. I will not vote to violate our Second Amendment rights, period. Senator Udall, who has shown a complete inability to discuss anything other than divisive social issues, has long-supported restrictive gun-control measures — even going so far as to push for more extreme measures than were passed in Colorado last year Senator Udall strongly advocates for a 10 round magazine limit, while measures passed in Colorado put a 15 round magazine limit in place. Counter to the will of Coloradans, he has also supported a so-called “assault weapons” ban, wishing to further infringe on our rights.

HA: As a Senator you may be called on to consider measures which affect United States foreign policy, including treaties, trade and intelligence assets. Germany recently ejected our CIA station chief from their country and our relationship with the Germans is strained, to say the least. How would you rate our nation’s current relationship with our European allies as compared to ten years ago and what, if anything, should we be doing differently?

CG: Despite his campaign promises to renew America’s standing in the world, President Obama has promoted a weak and ineffective foreign policy. As you mention, long-standing allies like Germany have rebuked the United States for our mishandling of international affairs, including concerns over American spying techniques. I’ve joined Members like Justin Amash on votes to end those surveillance techniques here at home. But our foreign policy problems extend beyond overbearing NSA-style invasions of privacy and faltering European relationships. Time and again the Administration has retreated from “red lines” and abandoned our strongest allies including Israel and Jordan.

We also have an opportunity to curtail Russian power in Eastern Europe by shipping them American-produced liquefied natural gas (LNG) and the House recently passed my legislation regarding this issue–meanwhile, the President and the Senate have failed to act. As a Member of the Armed Services and Intelligence committees, Senator Udall could have spoken out against the President’s disastrous approach to foreign policy. Instead, Senator Udall has chosen to stand by the President and vote with him 99% of the time. We need a new generation of leadership in Washington.

HA: Congratulations are due, since you recently announced that you and your wife are expecting a new addition to your family. An occasion like this gives us all pause to wonder about the future. What are your greatest, long term concerns over the nation your new baby will inherit when he or she becomes an adult?

CG: Above all, my greatest concern is what type of future are we leaving for our children to inherit. Right now our nation has a serious spending problem and a Senate and Administration that failed to pass a budget for over four years, until the disastrous Ryan-Murray budget that cut veterans’ pensions by $6.3 billion. We have been running outrageous deficits and are saddling our children and grandchildren with over $17 trillion in debt, recklessly spending away their future. If we allow this spending spree to continue, there’s no telling what this level will be when it’s time for them to take over.

HA: Thanks again for taking the time to speak with us. In closing, what should we expect to see you focusing on in the closing months of this campaign?

CG: I will continue to focus on the issues important to Coloradans – reigning in our nation’s out-of-control spending, creating jobs in Colorado, strengthening the economy, and promoting a sensible all-of-the-above energy policy in a way that best benefits Colorado. The need for leadership in DC has never been more important than it is now; I know that Washington is broken and the interests of Coloradans are being ignored by our current Senate leadership. I will continue to listen to the people I meet throughout the state and look forward to hearing Coloradans’ ideas for the future. We have a duty to keep Washington accountable to the next generation and we need a new generation of leadership in the Senate to accomplish that task.

If you’re interested in lending a hand to Cory in his bid to unseat Mark Udall, you can do so here.


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Saturday, July 19, 2014

Mark Udall’s horrible, no good, very bad week in Colorado

MarkUdall’shorrible,nogood,verybadweek

Mark Udall’s horrible, no good, very bad week in Colorado

posted at 5:31 pm on July 19, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

We’ve been keeping a close eye on the Senate race out in Colorado this summer, and a seat which at one time seemed like a bit of a stretch for the GOP is beginning to look more and more like a possible 2014 hope and change story for Republicans. Senator Mark Udall has found himself in the political fight of his life against Cory Gardner, and the latest round of news coming out this week certainly hasn’t improved his outlook on life. Stu Rothenberg has slid the race closer to toss-up territory, noting that Gardner is one of the best candidates in the nation this year and finished the most recent finance reporting period with more than $3M in the bank. That’s a fairly significant assessment, given that many analysts didn’t even have this race on their radar a few months ago and Obama carried the state twice.

Udall’s spirits were probably not much improved when he found out that Quinnipiac not only has the race as a tie now, but put his own approval rating at record lows.

The closely-watched U.S. Senate race is tied with 44 percent for U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, the Republican challenger, and 42 percent for Sen. Mark Udall, the Democratic incumbent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 10 percent are undecided.

This compares to the results of an April 24 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Sen. Udall at 45 percent to 44 percent for Rep. Gardner.

Today, Udall leads 86 – 5 percent among Democrats, while Republicans go to Gardner 85 – 5 percent. Independent voters go 43 percent for Udall and 40 percent for Gardner.

Colorado voters give Udall a negative 42 – 46 percent job approval rating, his lowest net approval ever and down from a 42 – 42 percent split in April. Voters say 49 – 40 percent that Udall does not deserve to be reelected, tying his lowest score on that measure.

Udall gets a slightly negative 40 – 43 percent favorability, compared to Gardner’s slightly positive 34 – 31 percent score.

Part of this may stem from the fact that Udall has tried to play it both ways on energy issues, leading the NRSC to ask if he’s just a fracking liar.

Udall and Polis share views outside the mainstream when it comes to energy development. Udall has long been in the pocket of radical environmental groups who want to dismantle Colorado’s energy industry. In fact, just yesterday, Polis reiterated that he and Udall remain on the same page when it comes to the underlying issue of fracking.

Colorado is hardly deep red territory, but they are most certainly ready for an improvement on the jobs front, and energy independence is at the front of that debate. Gardner is offering a positive vision to voters on these subjects, while Udall has been exposed as trying to sit on the fence while siding with the President on the fracking question back in Washington.

Yes, it was a bad week, but with any luck he won’t get as much bad news in August. After all, he’ll be on vacation. How much more damage could he do?


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Friday, July 18, 2014

CO: Cook Political Report downgrades Hickenlooper’s reelection chances

CO:CookPoliticalReportdowngradesHickenlooper’sreelectionchances

CO: Cook Political Report downgrades Hickenlooper’s reelection chances

posted at 7:41 pm on July 18, 2014 by Mary Katharine Ham

Gov. John Hickenlooper is considered the more likely of the state’s two big Democratic incumbents to hold on to his seat in November but the landscape may be changing quickly. The Cook Political Report changed Hickenlooper’s race against former Rep. Bob Beauprez from Likely Democrat to Leans Democrat today.

Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper has watched his political fortunes rise and fall during his first term. A year ago, he might have been among the most vulnerable incumbents up for re-election after suffering losses on some of his biggest priorities. Then polling taken earlier this year indicated that his position had improved. It helped that Republicans had a crowded field of candidates….

…At this writing, polls indicate that Hickenlooper might have a race on his hands after all, particularly after botching an attempt to apologize to the state sheriffs’ association for signing several gun control measures.

Yet another data point in the quest to figure out this big purple prize. Noah described the polling as it stands earlier this week:

An NBC News/Marist poll… showed Hickenlooper beating Beauprez with 49 to 43 percent support. But these results were called into question on Wednesday by the release of a Quinnipiac University poll of the Colorado governor’s race.

That survey found Beauprez, a figure who has not held federal office since 2007, has remarkably low name recognition. 31 percent of respondents said they had a favorable view of the candidate while 25 percent said they viewed him negatively, but a staggering 43 percent said they had not heard enough about Beauprez to form an opinion. Even though voters know nothing about him, Quinnipiac’s survey reveals that they are prepared to give him a shot. The poll found Beauprez leading Hickenlooper with 44 to 43 percent.

Beauprez’s strength in this survey has everything to do with Hickenlooper’s weakness. The poll found Hickenlooper’s favorability rating collapsing from 51 percent in April to 43 percent today. 48 percent approve of the job he has done in office while 46 percent disapprove. 42 percent of respondents said Hickenlooper deserves reelection while 48 percent disagreed. Those results were reversed in April.

It is hard to square these results with NBC’s. The NBC/Marist poll found a comparable number of voters had no opinion or had never heard of Beauprez (38 percent), but it also found that Hickenlooper’s job approval rating is 19 points above water (54/35 percent). Similarly, NBC found voters in the Centennial state have a favorable impression of their governor (51/36 percent).

As Colorado Peak Politics puts is, “these numbers leave very little room for error. Unfortunately, Hickenlooper is terribly error prone.” Indeed. We’ve seen him in action before.

And, Guy Benson flagged the Quinnipiac poll showing Gardner with a two-point lead over Udall:

Gardner and Udall have each consolidated their respective bases, with independents cutting ever so slightly in favor of the Democratic incumbent. In most national polling, independents are leaning heavily toward the GOP this cycle, so Colorado appears to be anomalous. Notable is the fact that this poll is among registered, not likely, voters — so if nationwide trends hold up, November’s electorate could tilt further in Gardner’s favor. On the other hand, the Colorado Left’s operation has been ruthlessly effective at turning out voters in recent cycles. In 2012, RealClearPolitics‘ final polling average showed Barack Obama very narrowly leading Mitt Romney in the state; the president ended up carrying Colorado by a comfortable five-and-a-half points. The GOP hasn’t won a major statewide race there since 2004. All of which is to say that while this survey is no doubt welcome news to the Gardner campaign, there is much work to be done.

Colorado’s a tough nut to crack for Republicans, but they’re certainly well positioned for potential statewide success at this point in the cycle.


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Thursday, July 17, 2014

Q-poll: Gardner 44, Udall 42 in Colorado Senate race

Q-poll:Gardner44,Udall42inColoradoSenate

Q-poll: Gardner 44, Udall 42 in Colorado Senate race

posted at 4:01 pm on July 17, 2014 by Guy Benson

Noah wrote up Quinnipiac’s gubernatorial poll yesterday, prompting me to wonder over at Townhall whether the polling outfit was holding back its Senate numbers for separate release.  We now have our answer. A virtual deadlock, and advantage Gardner:

The closely-watched U.S. Senate race is tied with 44 percent for U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner, the Republican challenger, and 42 percent for Sen. Mark Udall, the Democratic incumbent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 10 percent are undecided. This compares to the results of an April 24 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University showing Sen. Udall at 45 percent to 44 percent for Rep. Gardner. Today, Udall leads 86 – 5 percent among Democrats, while Republicans go to Gardner 85 – 5 percent. Independent voters go 43 percent for Udall and 40 percent for Gardner. Colorado voters give Udall a negative 42 – 46 percent job approval rating, his lowest net approval ever and down from a 42 – 42 percent split in April. Voters say 49 – 40 percent that Udall does not deserve to be reelected, tying his lowest score on that measure.

Gardner and Udall have each consolidated their respective bases, with independents cutting ever so slightly in favor of the Democratic incumbent.  In most national polling, independents are leaning heavily toward the GOP this cycle, so Colorado appears to be anomalous.  Notable is the fact that this poll is among registered, not likely, voters — so if nationwide trends hold up, November’s electorate could tilt further in Gardner’s favor.  On the other hand, the Colorado Left’s operation has been ruthlessly effective at turning out voters in recent cycles.  In 2012, RealClearPolitics‘ final polling average showed Barack Obama very narrowly leading Mitt Romney in the state; the president ended up carrying Colorado by a comfortable five-and-a-half points.  The GOP hasn’t won a major statewide race there since 2004.  All of which is to say that while this survey is no doubt welcome news to the Gardner campaign, there is much work to be done.  From Udall’s perspective, there are a number of worrisome nuggets in the Q-poll data, beyond his all-time low scores on job approval and “deserve to be re-elected” trackers:

- Gardner leads by five points on helping the middle class, with the Republican challenger outpacing the incumbent on the measure of who “cares about [voters'] needs and problems.”  Udall’s struggling badly on bread-and-butter Democratic advantages.

- The two candidates are tied on handling the minimum wage and immigration, issues Democrats typically try to exploit.

- Udall is getting clobbered on government spending and gun control; Gardner has clear a advantage (eight and 13 points, respectively) on each.

- President Obama’s approval rating in Colorado remains deep underwater, at 39/58.

Udall has a slight edge on “energy and environment” issues, but Gardner has been pounding away on the Keystone XL, which Udall (and one of Udall’s wealthiest benefactors) opposes.  The Democrat has recently been forced to backpedal away from an anti-fracking initiative, as Democrats worry that Republicans are gaining the upper hand on energy.  Perhaps the most concerning data point for Gardner — aside from his nine-point deficit with women, for which he compensates with a double-digit lead among men — is that voters split exactly evenly (41/41) on which candidate is preferable on Obamacare.  Polling from earlier this year shows that Colorado voters strongly disapprove of the law, yet Gardner is thus far failing to capitalize on what should be a winning issue for him.  He’ll have an opportunity to prosecute that case in debates and over the air, and he’ll have plenty of resources on the latter front.  The Republican hauled in a substantial $2.7 million in Q2 fundraising, though he still trails the money race overall.  The Democratic incumbent’s coffers were topped off earlier this month when President Obama held a high-dollar fundraiser for Mark Udall, a glitzy event that wasn’t attended by, er, Mark Udall:

President Barack Obama on Wednesday will headline his first fundraiser for a Senate Democrat in danger of losing this fall — but the candidate, Colorado Sen. Mark Udall, won’t be by his side. In a last minute switch, Udall’s campaign says the senator plans to stay in Washington to vote on Obama’s nominee to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The decision is likely to spark new questions about the political risks for vulnerable Democrats in being linked with an increasingly unpopular president.

It’s also worth pointing out.  Polling in this race is all over the map.  A new Marist/NBC poll gives Udall a seven-point lead over Gardner, while Gravis shows Gardner ahead by four.  I’ll leave you with a pair of web ads from the Gardner campaign, shackling Udall to the aforementioned “increasingly unpopular president:”

Udall touting Obama’s commitment to veterans (in the process of dodging question about whether he’ll campaign alongside the president) is especially painful in light of the VA scandal that has since exploded. By the way, Mark Udall votes with the president with whom he doesn’t want to be seen 99 percent of the time.  The Gardner camp would be wise to drive that message home relentlessly.  Independents may not care for Udall’s rigid partisanship and slavish devotion to a president of whom they disapprove by a whopping (35/61) margin, according to Quinnipiac.


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Wednesday, July 16, 2014

One horrible poll for Colorado’s Democratic governor

OnehorriblepollforColorado’sDemocraticgovernor

One horrible poll for Colorado’s Democratic governor

posted at 1:21 pm on July 16, 2014 by Noah Rothman

Colorado, once a reliably Republican state, looks more blue than purple these days.

Even amid 2010’s Republican route of Democratic candidates across the country, Colorado surprised much of the political establishment when Democrats won both statewide races. In 2012, the Centennial State again voted for President Barack Obama by more than 5 points, cementing its status as a premier member of the Democrat’s impenetrable Blue Wall.

This year, Colorado voters will again head to the polls and, on paper, Republicans in this state are far better positioned than they were in 2010.

In a deft maneuver, Ken Buck, a former district attorney who ran for Senate and lost in 2010, agreed to run for Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO) seat so that the sophomore congressman can serve as the GOP’s federal candidate this year. The straight-shooting political handicapper Stuart Rothenberg recently said Gardner “may well be the best GOP challenger in the country.”

The GOP is similarly blessed in that Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper faces off against former Rep. Bob Beauprez (R-CO) this year. In 2010, Hickenlooper was the beneficiary of a local GOP civil war. That year, the party’s gubernatorial nominee, local businessman Dan Maes, had to contend with former Rep. Tom Tancredo who also ran for governor as an independent. Even though both candidates split the conservative vote, however, Hickenlooper still emerged on election night with 51 percent of the popular vote.

In spite of the fact that Colorado Republicans seem to have their act together, the party still faces an uphill battle in the state. A set of surveys released on Tuesday appeared to confirm that the state is prepared live up to its reputation as a reliable member of Democratic Party’s new majority coalition.

An NBC News/Marist poll released Tuesday showed Centennial voters favoring incumbent Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) over Gardner by 48 to 41 percent. The poll also showed Hickenlooper beating Beauprez with 49 to 43 percent support. But these results were called into question on Wednesday by the release of a Quinnipiac University poll of the Colorado governor’s race.

That survey found Beauprez, a figure who has not held federal office since 2007, has remarkably low name recognition. 31 percent of respondents said they had a favorable view of the candidate while 25 percent said they viewed him negatively, but a staggering 43 percent said they had not heard enough about Beauprez to form an opinion. Even though voters know nothing about him, Quinnipiac’s survey reveals that they are prepared to give him a shot. The poll found Beauprez leading Hickenlooper with 44 to 43 percent.

Beauprez’s strength in this survey has everything to do with Hickenlooper’s weakness. The poll found Hickenlooper’s favorability rating collapsing from 51 percent in April to 43 percent today. 48 percent approve of the job he has done in office while 46 percent disapprove. 42 percent of respondents said Hickenlooper deserves reelection while 48 percent disagreed. Those results were reversed in April.

It is hard to square these results with NBC’s. The NBC/Marist poll found a comparable number of voters had no opinion or had never heard of Beauprez (38 percent), but it also found that Hickenlooper’s job approval rating is 19 points above water (54/35 percent). Similarly, NBC found voters in the Centennial state have a favorable impression of their governor (51/36 percent).

It will take a lot more data to get a clearer picture of how the race in Colorado is shaping up. But if Hickenlooper is as much of a drag at the top of the ticket as Quinnipiac suggests, the GOP is poised to benefit in a number of down-ballot races.


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Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Video: Colorado waitresses who carry more than just drinks

Video:Coloradowaitresseswhocarrymorethanjust

Video: Colorado waitresses who carry more than just drinks

posted at 2:41 pm on July 8, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

In Colorado, they take their gun rights seriously — even if their elected representatives forget to do so. In a segment this morning, CBS News featured the waitresses of Shooters, a popular restaurant in Rifle, Colorado, who carry food, drinks, and firearms on the job. The owner began carrying her pistol openly and the staff followed her lead — and now the restaurant has embraced the concept, even offering training for concealed-carry permits that has a free burger and fries to go along with the class:

The town is called Rifle. The grill is called Shooters. So it’s no surprise that the waitresses have an unusual dress code, CBS News correspondent Barry Petersen reports.

“I am carrying a Ruger 357 Blackhawk,” said Ashlee Saenz, a waitress at Shooters. “I like the old style revolvers, and I just like big guns.”

When owner Lauren Boebert started carrying a gun openly, which is legal in most parts of Colorado, the waitresses accessorized as well. …

“Maybe if someone wandered in from New York City, from Washington D.C., they might be a little worried, said Doug Yajko, an area doctor. “But the local people, plus the people in western Colorado, are not going to be worried by someone with a handgun.”

Funny you should mention that, Doc. Rolling Stone has a featured interview with Michael Bloomberg out today, who helped push some of the gun-control legislation that Governor John Hickenlooper signed and then regretted. Bloomberg dismisses the efforts of the NRA’s recalls in Colorado, sniffing that they targeted communities with no roads, or something:

Has running Mayors Against Illegal Gunsfor the last eight years made you more or less optimistic about this issue?
Well, there are 16 states that already have [background checks], and they’re populated states. So there’s a big chunk of the country that’s already protected by these laws. And, yeah, you’re not going to get everybody until you get to a tipping point, but the fact that you save a lot of lives is not something to sneer at. And the fact that you can’t save every life is not an argument not to try to save any lives.

In Colorado, we got a law passed. The NRA went after two or three state Senators in a part of Colorado where I don’t think there’s roads. It’s as far rural as you can get. And, yes, they lost recall elections. I’m sorry for that. We tried to help ‘em. But the bottom line is, the law is on the books, and being enforced. You can get depressed about the progress, but on the other hand, you’re saving a lot of lives.

Colorado Springs has no roads? I wonder if Bloomberg knows that they have indoor plumbing, too. (I’ve been there and can confirm this personally, in case anyone wonders.) Nothing says we relate to you like a mayor of New York City assuming that the locals haven’t yet heard about asphalt yet. That’ll surely help Hickenlooper, who was recently forced to admit that he consulted with Bloomberg on gun control after denying it in a meeting with law enforcement. Sharks gotta swim, bats gotta fly, and elitists gotta impose nanny states, y’know.


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Sunday, June 22, 2014

With election approaching, Mark Udall tries to tiptoe around Keystone

Withelectionapproaching,MarkUdalltriestotiptoe

With election approaching, Mark Udall tries to tiptoe around Keystone

posted at 6:31 pm on June 22, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

If Senator Mark Udall (D-Colorado) was hoping to avoid controversy prior to his reelection bid this fall against Cory Gardner by voting to put the Keystone pipeline on the back burner this week for even longer, the strategy may have backfired. There have been more than a few locals unhappy with his decision to essentially stay on the fence and not risk any more political damage. Still, he tried to explain it away and split the baby.

“I am frustrated the Obama administration has taken more than five years to get to this point, but the technical review process needs to run its course,” Udall said. “That’s why I continue to vote against all amendments — Democratic or Republican — that would inject more politics into the pipeline review process.”

It wasn’t just the Republicans (who wouldn’t care much for him either way) who were getting on his case over this. The editorial board of his own hometown paper, the Denver Post, wasn’t exactly shy about calling him to task.

So it’s disappointing to see Sen. Mark Udall, D-Colo., once again vote against the pipeline, as he did Wednesday in the Senate energy committee.

Officially, Udall claims to have no position, his spokesman saying he “believes the technical review needs to be seen through to the end.” But nearly everyone recognizes that the delay by the federal government’s side is political, given the number of studies and how long this process has dragged on.

It would be helpful to know Udall’s position before, not after, the Obama administration officially rules on Keystone.

Udall isn’t sitting in a nearly comfortable enough place to begin swaggering. He is currently in a dead heat with Cory Gardner in pretty much every poll we’ve seen, and is currently on the watch list of seats which may flip this fall. Clearly the Senator thinks that Colorado is in the process of turning a lighter shade of purple (and it may indeed be), but this seems to be rushing it a bit.

In the meantime, Gardner is taking a different approach, sticking to a positive message. We’ll close with his latest television ad.


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Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Hickenlooper: On second thought, I did talk to Bloomberg about gun control

Hickenlooper:Onsecondthought,Ididtalkto

Hickenlooper: On second thought, I did talk to Bloomberg about gun control

posted at 10:01 am on June 17, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

It’s bad enough for an executive to have to perform a walk-back. How about when an executive has to walk back the walkback? Jazz took note of Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper’s strange apology to law enforcement last week when his gun-control efforts backfired. Well, his apology has also backfired, thanks to Hickenlooper’s selective memory and the clear data record.

In this clip from Revealing Politics, Hickenlooper chides one questioner for asking why the governor talked about the gun-control agenda with Michael Bloomberg rather than the sheriffs. “Let’s stick to the facts,” Hickenlooper rebuked Weld County Sheriff John Cooke. “I never talked with Mayor Bloomberg.” Really?

No, not really, reported Fox’s Denver affiliate KDVR:

Complete Colorado, which first reported the governor’s statement, had already obtained phone records from Hickenlooper’s cell phone showing that he did speak with Bloomberg last year.

Additionally, the conservative website Revealing Politics posted edited video of the exchange.

On Monday afternoon, Hickenlooper’s office acknowledged that the governor spoke carelessly.

“The governor often jokes about his ability to put his foot in his mouth, because he does,” said Eric Brown, the governor’s spokesman. “It is well established that Gov. Hickenlooper spoke with Mayor Bloomberg, as well as NRA President Keene and many other stakeholders in the gun safety debate. In fact, the governor released phone records on this matter.

“When the governor told an audience of sheriffs that he had not talked to Bloomberg, the governor was attempting to convey he never had a conversation with Bloomberg that influenced the decision he made. In no way did the governor intend to mislead the sheriffs or anyone else.”

Really? The point of the question was to ask why Hickenlooper talked with Bloomberg rather than law-enforcement leaders in his own state. Clearly, the intent of the answer was to avoid answering that question by misleading Cooke and the other sheriffs into thinking that no such conversations took place. I don’t know how the dictionaries at the Colorado capital define “mislead,” but Merriam-Webster defines “mislead” as “to lead astray :  give a wrong impression.”

This still leaves the question open to Hickenlooper. Why would he seek advice on a Colorado law-enforcement issue from a former mayor of New York City rather than the law-enforcement leaders in his own state, especially since the latter would have to enforce whatever law Hickenlooper got passed? The walkback from this walkback of the previous walkback should be fascinating.

Maybe Hickenlooper’s office can contract with the people who did the credits to this film. Either that, or they can start talking about llamas!


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Sunday, June 15, 2014

Colorado Governor apologizes to sheriffs over gun control laws

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Colorado Governor apologizes to sheriffs over gun control laws

posted at 6:31 pm on June 15, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

Something strange is afoot in the Centennial State and it has to do with Governor Hickenlooper. After signing on to a gun control bill which had plenty of people upset – to the point where some of his own law enforcement folks were suing him – he has suddenly apologized.

Governor John Hickenlooper is offering an apology to some of his fiercest rivals on the issue of gun control: Colorado’s sheriffs.

The governor’s mea culpa came Friday when he spoke before an assembled group of sheriffs from around Colorado.

A Hickenlooper spokesman confirms that the Governor apologized to the sheriffs for not meeting with them prior to the passage of gun control bills they opposed. Hickenlooper also said his administration didn’t do a good job anticipating pushback on gun control. According to his spokesman, Hickenlooper pledged better communication in the future.

This is curious. The GOP – with Tom Tancredo as their candidate – has been hot on the Democrat Governor’s heels for a while now, particularly since the signing of the gun control law. But as recently as last month, the conventional wisdom was that the crisis was past, Hickenlooper was out of the woods, and was sitting on a somewhat slim but still manageable seven point lead in the polls. He’s been faced with a number of other decisions which have drawn some of the attention away and mended a few fences, including some controversial drilling legislation and his veto of a water management bill which environmentalists had been pushing for.

But if things were looking cozy enough to save his seat at the Governor’s mansion, why offer an olive branch to the Sheriffs now? Moe Lane at Redstate (where I first saw the story) asks what may be the pertinent question.

I wonder what John Hickenlooper’s internal polling is telling him?

Good question. We haven’t been hearing as much chatter from the RGA about Colorado for a little while, but now I’m wondering if this seat is back in play?


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